Cashew News
Cashew exports on shaky ground
Exports of cashew continues to be lower this year as
compared to the last fi nancial year because both buyers
and sellers are not willing to take any risk due to
the volatile price situation. Volume of export for the
fi rst two months of the current fi nancial year is down
by 4% while value realisation for the period is down by
around 3.8% as compared to the same period of last
fi nancial year.
Interestingly, import of raw cashew has also come
down in the current fi nancial year, which also indicates
lower demand at both domestic and export market.
Unlike 2009-10, when imports were increasing despite
low exports, import of raw cashews has gone down by
more than 14% during the fi rst two months of 2010-
2011 while the total value of imports has come down
by 8%. Import of raw cashew in 2009-10 is higher by
15 % in value terms and 24% in volume terms. Cashew
kernel exports during the last fi nancial year was down
by 2.7 % in value terms and 1.2 % in volume terms
when compared to the same period of 2008-09.
Except for some brisk activity in the second half
of April, market has been quiet for more than two
months. This is a cause for concern as it adds to the
volatility, according to traders. Despite lack of activity,
there have been no sign of any large selling pressure,
they added. High price for raw cashew and slow
arrivals have lead to reduced processing. It has to be
seen whether processors can hold on till some large
buying interest comes in. Recent developments in the
fi nancial markets are adding to the concern about its
impact on the retail demand and ability to carry inventory.
On the buying side also, there is no rush to
buy, as there is uncertainty in the market. Nobody
seems to be in a mood to take large positions.
Traders are expecting the market to rebound during
September because of a supply crunch. According to
industry experts, buyers in Europe, Japan and Australia
do a major portion of their buying for the next season
during September –October. US buyers also stock
in advance for Christmas and other festivals. These
factors should provide a fl oor to the market in the top
half of the current range unless something dramatic
happens. Like a big drop...usage during May-August
leading to less need to buy or a worsening of the economic
situation leading to reduced contracting.
Cashew exports improve in May: CEPC
Cashew exports, affected in April due to the Euro crisis,
regained its momentum in May, though marginally
lower than last year in the same month. Exports
which had dipped to 7,802 ton and Rs.209.74 crore in
April, saw a robust pick-up to 8,746 ton and Rs.234.19
crore in May, though it was marginally short of the
year-ago fi gure of 8,835 ton and Rs.237.95 crore, according
to data given by Cashew Export Promotion
Council (CEPC).
During April, the cashew kernel exports had declined
mainly on account of slow pace of global recovery
and the Euro-zone debt crisis causing slowdown in
demand. Exports of the wonder nut, which was hit
last year due to global economic crisis, have been on
an upward trend since January this year. The fl uctuations
in prices and fall in Euro has contributed to
this upward trend in cashew exports, CEPC Secretary
Sashi Varma said adding that the global crisis is not
fully over yet and these fl uctuations in prices are normal.
When asked on the shipments scenario ahead, he
said, It is diffi cult to predict the future, we can only
hope for a better offtake. Indian processed cashew
nuts are shipped to the US, West Asia and Europe.
The cumulative exports during the fi rst fi ve months
also showed slight decline in volume at 42,616 ton
as compared to 42,704 ton. However, in value terms
it was at Rs.1,152 crore during January-May period
as against Rs.1,133.41 crore, the data showed. Meanwhile,
import of raw cashew nuts showed a declining
trend since last two months. In May, raw cashew import
stood at 92,016 ton compared to 92,818 ton.
However, in value terms, there was a slight improvement
due to price fl uctuation at Rs.360.86 crore
against Rs.338.88 crore in the same month last year.
News Highlights
Page 10
A Product of www.CashewInfo.com
CASHEW WEEK
The cumulative import of raw cashew during January-
May was fi rm both in terms of volume and value. In
volume terms, it stood at 2,29,241 ton during the fi rst
fi ve months this year compared to 2,23,087 ton in the
same period last year. While in value terms, the shipment
was at Rs.1,041.22 crore compared to 916.60
crore in the same period last year.
Cashew market active on Asian consumption
Cashew market was steady during the week with fair
amount of business taking place in different markets
at prevailing prices. Prices were more or less unchanged.
W240 was at around $3.15, W320 around
$2.95, W450 around $2.80 (f.o.b). As usual, some
processors sold at lower levels and some were able
to sell at higher levels, trade sources said. Indian domestic
market moved up a bit on broken grades, but
not much on wholes, they said.
Currently, there seems to be fair amount of buying
interest in the middle of $2.80 and $3 range with
buying resistance when prices come close to $3 and
selling reluctance when prices drop close to $2.80.
As we enter the peak Asian consumption period, we
can reasonably expect fi rmness in the market and increased
volatility due to the spot buying nature of
these markets. If there is need for any large contracting
in this period, we could see prices break the current
range. Despite a long period of inactivity, there
has not been so far any big selling pressure that we
normally see when market is quiet for even a couple
of weeks. Although some processors did sell at lower
levels, larger proportion seems to be willing to wait
and make sales when some buyers came in to pay the
levels they wanted. Reduced kernel availability and
the continued nearby buying by some market or the
other gives processors the comfort of being able to
sell when they want to.
Indian Infl ation stood at 17.21%
The index for primary articles group rose by 0.5 percent
to 301.7 from 300.3 for the previous week. The
annual rate of infl ation, calculated on point to point
basis, stood at 17.21 percent for the week ended 29
May 2010 (over 30 May 2009) as compared to 16.89
percent for the previous week.
The index for ‘Food Articles’ group rose by 0.4 percent
to 296.4 from 295.1 for the previous week due to
higher prices of beef & buffalo meat (8%), fi sh-marine
(3%) and urad, fruits & vegetables, arhar and moong
(1% each). However, the prices of bajra (1%) declined.
The index for ‘Non-Food Articles’ group rose by 1.0
percent to 285.7 from 283.0 for the previous week
due to higher prices of fodder and raw rubber (6%
each), raw cotton (3%), castor seed (2%) and raw silk,
groundnut seed and cotton seed (1% each). However,
the prices of raw jute (4%), rape & mustard seed (2%)
and skins (raw) (1%) declined.
The index for ‘Minerals’ group declined by 1.3 percent
to 674.9 from 684.0 for the previous week due to
lower prices of vermiculite (29%), feldspar (8%), iron
ore (2%) and magnesite (1%). However, the prices of
chromite (28%) and barytes (1%) moved up.
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